Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Breadtalk (15th May 2012 to 7th Aug 2012)

Breadtalk is an uprising powerhouse in the food and beverage sector.  With its firm and strong fundamentals, and its growing expansion in China, it is also regarded as a defensive play with good dividends.  I have witness the fluctuations in share price for the past year or so, as it rose from around $0.50 to more than $0.60, before falling to around $0.55 range after the bonus share issue. 
 
 
After studying the pattern in the range-bound repeating rise and fall, I decided to buy into the counter with the intention of short term play, as it was observed in the past year that the share price would fluctuate between $0.46 to $0.55 in the event of any sell-down. 
Opportunity presented itself soon after it went XD in May, as the share price suddenly plunge by 10% from $0.54 for no apprent reason within a short period of 2 days.  Hence I took the chance to buy 10 lots at $0.49 per share, with an intended target price of $0.55.
After the purchase, the share price dipped even further to $0.46 before a gradual rebound occurring 2 weeks to gradually move north. During this three month period of holding the counter, I was contemplating whether I should hold on to it or just sell below my target price for a minimal profit.  However, as I was not in need of cash, I decided I should stay discipline and stick to the initial plan.
My efforts soon paid off 3 months later as it rose above my expectations to $0.56 per share.  I sold off all my holdings for a decent profit.
My thoughts at that time:  As I contemplate whether to sell or not, I remembered my biggest weakness in investing is my ill-disciplined nature.  To remind myself to stick to my plan, I made the final decision to sell.
Lessons learnt:  Sticking to the plan is the best plan in my opinion, as if prices rose further, I can console myself that I had been discipline to stick to the plan, while on the other hand if prices drop, I will not have any regrets for missing the opportunity to sell at a higher price.

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